GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dunfermline · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Dunfermline are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cove Rangers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Dunfermline hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 21.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the League Cup, while Dunfermline holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dunfermline

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

63.2%

Dunfermline has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DunfermlineWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Cove RangersLWLLD

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
DunfermlineCove Rangers
73.3Attack25.0
60.0Defence0.0
60.0Form25.0
61.7Power21.7
2.91xG0.95
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