Dunfermlinevs
Ayr Utd
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dunfermline · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dunfermline are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ayr Utd are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ayr Utd hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Championship, while Dunfermline holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dunfermline
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
34.4%
Dunfermline has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60