Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundee · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dundee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aberdeen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundee hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Premiership, while Dundee holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundee
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
13.9%
Dundee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60