Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dundalk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Waterford are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60