Dundalkvs
Sligo Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 3/16/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Dundalk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sligo Rovers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60