Dundalkvs
Shamrock Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 5/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dundalk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Shamrock Rovers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shamrock Rovers hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Premier Division, while Shamrock Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shamrock Rovers
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80