GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 7/10/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dundalk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Drogheda United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundalk

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DundalkLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Drogheda UnitedLLDLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DundalkDrogheda United
51.9Attack38.3
49.4Defence46.9
45.7Form34.6
50.5Power42.6
1.81xG1.03
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