Dundalkvs
Drogheda United
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 2/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dundalk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Drogheda United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60