Dundalkvs
Castlebar Celtic
COMPLETEDIreland · FAI Cup · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dundalk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Castlebar Celtic are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 88.7 against 89.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the FAI Cup, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
10.4%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.67/0.33