Dunav Rusevs
Ludogorets
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Dunav Ruse are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ludogorets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 64.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 85.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.9% in the First League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80