GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 8/8/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arda Kardzhali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Dunav Ruse are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Arda Kardzhali are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the First League, while Arda Kardzhali holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arda Kardzhali

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

14.6%

Arda Kardzhali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dunav RuseLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Arda KardzhaliLWDLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
16.7Attack41.7
33.3Defence75.0
0.0Form58.3
21.5Power60.3
0.77xG1.43
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