Dunav Rusevs
Arda Kardzhali
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/8/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arda Kardzhali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Dunav Ruse are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Arda Kardzhali are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the First League, while Arda Kardzhali holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arda Kardzhali
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
14.6%
Arda Kardzhali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80