GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dumbarton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dumbarton are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Edinburgh City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dumbarton hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 20.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the League Two, while Dumbarton holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dumbarton

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

12.7%

Dumbarton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DumbartonLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Edinburgh CityWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DumbartonEdinburgh City
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form16.7
47.8Power20.0
1.69xG1.04
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