GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dumbarton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dumbarton are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Cove Rangers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Dumbarton hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (27.9 v 21.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the League Cup, while Dumbarton holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dumbarton

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Dumbarton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DumbartonLLLLL

GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Cove RangersLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
DumbartonCove Rangers
50.0Attack25.0
0.0Defence0.0
25.0Form25.0
27.9Power21.7
2.15xG1.48
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