Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dumbarton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dumbarton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Clyde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Clyde hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the League Two, while Dumbarton holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dumbarton
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
14.1%
Dumbarton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80