GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Airdrie United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dumbarton are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Airdrie United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Airdrie United hold a 45.4-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 76.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Challenge Cup, while Airdrie United holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Airdrie United

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

10.3%

Airdrie United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DumbartonWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Airdrie UnitedDDLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DumbartonAirdrie United
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
16.7Form86.7
31.3Power76.7
1.22xG2.13
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