Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dubočica are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Loznica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Loznica hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20