GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 7/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sevastopol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Druzhba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sevastopol are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 70.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Second League - Group 1, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sevastopol

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SevastopolLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DruzhbaSevastopol
44.4Attack63.2
63.0Defence68.4
48.1Form73.7
53.1Power70.0
0.85xG1.35
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