Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drukpa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Drukpa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tensung are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Drukpa hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 22.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.1% in the Premier League, while Drukpa holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drukpa
Probability
88.1%
Model confidence
88.1%
Drukpa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80