Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Drita are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tre Fiori are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Drita hold a 59.4-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Drita holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drita
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
10.2%
Drita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40