Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Drita are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Floriana are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Drita hold a 46.7-point power-rating edge (83.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Drita holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drita
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Drita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40