Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dravinja · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Dravinja are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bilje are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dravinja hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the 2. SNL, while Dravinja holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dravinja
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Dravinja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00