Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Dragón are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FAS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FAS hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Copa Presidente, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00