Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dover · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dover are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Herne Bay are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dover hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Dover holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dover
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Dover has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40