Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deal Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dover are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Deal Town are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deal Town hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Deal Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deal Town
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Deal Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00