DovervsCarshalton Athletic

Dover are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Carshalton Athletic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Carshalton Athletic hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Carshalton Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.