GGOALVIO

Ireland · FAI Cup · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Castlebar Celtic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Douglas Hall are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Castlebar Celtic are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Castlebar Celtic hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the FAI Cup, while Castlebar Celtic holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Castlebar Celtic

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Castlebar Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Douglas HallWL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Castlebar CelticWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 3.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Douglas HallCastlebar Celtic
16.7Attack66.7
83.3Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power89.7
1.41xG1.74
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