Douglas Haigvs
Sarmiento de La Banda
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Douglas Haig are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.6 against 53.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.9% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
25.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00