GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Douglas Haig are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Martin Formosa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and san Martin Formosa hold a 8.4-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring a draw with 15.3% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

15.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Douglas HaigDWLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San Martin FormosaWWLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Douglas HaigSan Martin Formosa
38.3Attack57.4
68.3Defence61.1
53.3Form66.7
54.6Power63.0
0.94xG1.03
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