GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/31/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Douglas Haig are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia Concepción are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Douglas Haig hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Douglas HaigLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia ConcepciónWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Douglas HaigGimnasia Concepción
36.5Attack26.7
69.8Defence70.0
52.4Form35.0
54.2Power45.1
0.73xG0.43
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