Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Dornbirn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ried are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ried hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Cup, while Ried holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ried
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
8.2%
Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20