Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dordrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Dordrecht are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Feyenoord are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Feyenoord hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Dordrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dordrecht
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
7.2%
Dordrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80