GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 8/7/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dordoi Bishkek are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Neftchi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dordoi Bishkek hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 11.1% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.3%

Model confidence

11.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dordoi BishkekWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NeftchiWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dordoi BishkekNeftchi
52.6Attack38.9
56.1Defence42.6
43.9Form37.0
50.6Power41.3
2.00xG0.91
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