GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Dongguan United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Nantong Zhiyun are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantong Zhiyun hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.2% in the League One, while Nantong Zhiyun holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nantong Zhiyun

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

18.2%

Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dongguan UnitedLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nantong ZhiyunDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dongguan UnitedNantong Zhiyun
35.2Attack41.2
35.2Defence74.5
20.4Form60.8
32.6Power60.6
0.53xG1.59
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