GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dongguan United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dongguan United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Meizhou Kejia are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Meizhou Kejia hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the League One, while Dongguan United holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dongguan United

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

13.6%

Dongguan United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dongguan UnitedLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Meizhou KejiaLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Dongguan UnitedMeizhou Kejia
35.2Attack35.2
35.2Defence37.0
20.4Form37.0
32.6Power39.1
1.39xG1.28
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