Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doncaster are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lincoln are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lincoln hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (72.1 v 77.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
11.3%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80