Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockerau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Donau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stockerau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stockerau hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (20.8 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stockerau holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stockerau
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Stockerau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60