Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dock Sud are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Liniers are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Dock Sud hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00