Džiugas TelšiaivsSuduva Marijampole

Džiugas Telšiai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Suduva Marijampole are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.4% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.