GGOALVIO

Nicaragua · Primera Division · 7/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Diriangén · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Diriangén are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Marcos are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Diriangén hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 30.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Primera Division, while Diriangén holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Diriangén

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

Diriangén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DiriangénDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
San MarcosLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 17 · avg 0.20/3.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
DiriangénSan Marcos
58.3Attack25.0
66.7Defence41.7
66.7Form16.7
66.3Power30.9
1.93xG0.80
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