GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Diriangén are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while LD Alajuelense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and LD Alajuelense hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, favouring a draw with 12.0% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

26.0%

Model confidence

12.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DiriangénDWWDD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
LD AlajuelenseWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DiriangénLD Alajuelense
83.3Attack66.7
16.7Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
51.0Power86.5
1.36xG1.71
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