GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Zagreb are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Thun are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Zagreb hold a 42.6-point power-rating edge (79.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the UEFA Champions League, while Dinamo Zagreb holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Zagreb

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

64.0%

Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo ZagrebDDWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC ThunWDLDW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo ZagrebFC Thun
91.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence33.3
83.3Form16.7
79.1Power36.5
2.44xG1.05
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