GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/13/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Vologda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dinamo Vologda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tver are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Vologda hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Cup, while Dinamo Vologda holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Vologda

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

13.2%

Dinamo Vologda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo VologdaLWWDL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TverLWWWL

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo VologdaTver
44.4Attack33.3
77.8Defence33.3
44.4Form50.0
54.9Power42.7
1.59xG1.00
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