GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Tbilisi are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while US Mondorf-les-bains are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Dinamo Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tbilisi

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo TbilisiWWWLW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
US Mondorf-les-bainsLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo TbilisiUS Mondorf-les-bains
66.7Attack33.3
25.0Defence50.0
58.3Form16.7
50.4Power36.5
1.89xG1.41
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