GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 4/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Dinamo Tbilisi are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gagra are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dinamo Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tbilisi

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo TbilisiDDDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GagraDDLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo TbilisiGagra
55.0Attack43.5
63.3Defence39.8
56.7Form35.2
59.5Power40.1
2.25xG0.83
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