GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guria · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Dinamo Tbilisi II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guria are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guria hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 75.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Liga 3, while Guria holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guria

Probability

67.0%

Model confidence

12.2%

Guria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo Tbilisi IIWLLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GuriaLDWDW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo Tbilisi IIGuria
49.0Attack92.2
54.9Defence78.4
47.1Form70.6
51.9Power75.8
0.81xG2.18
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