GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 8/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Samarqand · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dinamo Samarqand are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Xorazm are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Samarqand hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Super League, while Dinamo Samarqand holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Samarqand

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

13.3%

Dinamo Samarqand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo SamarqandLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
XorazmWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo SamarqandXorazm
52.1Attack29.2
43.8Defence54.2
43.8Form39.6
49.1Power43.5
1.55xG0.88
View match centre →