GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 4/8/2026, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Samarqand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dinamo Samarqand are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sogdiana are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Samarqand hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Super League, while Dinamo Samarqand holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Samarqand

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Dinamo Samarqand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo SamarqandLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SogdianaDLDLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo SamarqandSogdiana
52.9Attack58.8
43.1Defence31.4
43.1Form41.2
49.0Power44.9
2.35xG1.81
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