Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dila are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Saburtalo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
13.4%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00