Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Dila are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Meshakhte are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.2% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
20.2%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40