Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diksmuide · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Diksmuide are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kortrijk are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kortrijk hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 32.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Diksmuide holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Diksmuide
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Diksmuide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60